GuysTake_026 - The Halving is Not Priced in, Here's Why

As a follow up to Nic Carter's excellent breakdown of the efficient market hypothesis, and PlanB's piece addressing the market's evaluation of the risks in Bitcoin, I go through the reasons I feel the market both is very unwilling and unconfident about the consequences of the halving, and therefore sees it not as "known information," but more a blind gamble.

For diving deeper into the many topics and works that I brought up, here are the links of all those I remembered:
**• Nic Carter's "Introduction to the Efficient Market Hypothesis"
**https://anchor.fm/thecryptoconomy/episodes/CryptoQuikRead_343---Introduction-to-the-Efficient-Market-Hypothesis-for-Bitcoiners-Nic-Carter-eac03b
**• PlanB's "Efficient Markets and Bitcoin's Stock-to-Flow"
**https://anchor.fm/thecryptoconomy/episodes/CryptoQuikRead_344---Efficient-Markets--Bitcoins-Stock-to-Flow-PlanB-eaco0i
**• Hayek's "Use of Knowledge in Society" [Part 1 & 2]
**https://anchor.fm/thecryptoconomy/episodes/CryptoQuikRead_250---Use-of-Knowledge-in-Society-Part-1---F--A--Hayek-e43pfj
**https://anchor.fm/thecryptoconomy/episodes/CryptoQuikRead_251---Use-of-Knowledge-in-Society-Part-2---F--A--Hayek-e444k0
**• Parker Lewis's "Bitcoin is Not Backed by Nothing"
**https://anchor.fm/thecryptoconomy/episodes/CryptoQuikRead_335---Bitcoin-is-Not-Backed-by-Nothing-Parker-Lewis-e9v1rs
**• Hoppe's "Yield From Money Held Reconsidered"
**https://anchor.fm/thecryptoconomy/episodes/CryptoQuikRead_122---The-Yield-From-Money-Held-Reconsidered-e2ndqn
**• Conner Brown's "Bitcoin Has No Intrinsic Value, & That's Great!"
**https://anchor.fm/thecryptoconomy/episodes/CryptoQuikRead_249---Bitcoin-Has-No-Intrinsic-Value---Thats-Great--Conner-Brown-e43bcm
Don't forget to grab your tickets to BitBlockBoom and use the offer code CC for a 30% discount!
https://bitblockboom.com/

--- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/bitcoinaudible/message