Bitcoin Drops 40% While Gold and Silver Surge

Show Notes

This episode is a wide ranging market and geopolitical check in as Bitcoin undergoes a sharp drawdown while gold and silver surge. Matthew opens by comparing long term performance across assets, walking through indexed returns for gold, silver, and Bitcoin starting from multiple timeframes. While precious metals are clearly outperforming in the short and medium term, he emphasizes that zooming out reveals a very different story. Even after a steep pullback, Bitcoin’s long term gains still dwarf those of gold and silver when measured over a decade or more. He then turns to drawdowns. Bitcoin has fallen roughly 40 percent in three months, a fast move but not unprecedented. Matthew compares this decline to prior cycles in 2017, 2018, and 2022, showing that faster drops often resolve sooner. On the power curve, Bitcoin currently sits between the 30th and 40th percentile. Statistically, that means price has been higher about 70 percent of the time. It may go lower, but it is already in a historically cheap zone. A core segment revisits power law versus exponential models. Matthew explains why Bitcoin does not behave like gold or silver, which follow exponential trends that overshoot and mean revert. Bitcoin remains best described by a power curve, with projections that have stayed remarkably stable even when built using limited historical data. Porkopolis Economics - Episode 343 Chapters: 00:00:00 - Gold, Silver, and Bitcoin Returns Analysis 00:04:53 - Bitcoin vs Gold and Silver Returns Comparison 00:09:43 - Bitcoin Drawdown Analysis and Historical Comparison 00:12:32 - Bitcoin Power Curve Analysis and Price Drops 00:31:18 - Bitcoin Cycle Analysis and Price Crash Comparison 00:34:55 - Bitcoin Miners Revenue and Debt Monetization 00:37:58 - Bitcoin Mining Revenue Cycles Analysis 00:42:19 - Nick Carter's Market Influence and Bitcoin Developer Gatekeeping 00:45:16 - Trump, Putin, and Ukraine Drone Warfare 00:47:43 - Russian Disinformation and Epstein's FSB Connections 00:51:19 - Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth and Political Interference 00:53:29 - Epstein Files and Bitcoin Cryptocurrency Implications 00:57:18 - Bitcoin vs Gold: Analyzing Price Ratios 01:03:18 - Bitcoin vs Gold: Long-Term Wealth Storage Trends Show Sponsor: Debifi - https://debifi.com/ Donations to Porkopolis Economics via BTCPay are appreciated: https://donations.porkopolis.io/ Porkopolis Economics covers macroeconomics, money, geopolitics and sports from the creator of the Crypto Voices podcast, Matthew Mezinskis. Data-driven. Scale matters. Smaller, decentralized states mean more opportunity for liberty than larger ones. Host: Matthew Mezinskis https://porkopolis.io https://x.com/1basemoney Show content is not investment or financial advice in any way. 🎙️ New to streaming or looking to level up? Check out StreamYard and get $10 discount! 😍 https://streamyard.com/pal/d/6266922845601792