Bitcoin Is Historically Cheap Right Now

Show Notes

Bitcoin valuation, power curve analysis, and global macro risks all come together in this episode as Matthew evaluates where Bitcoin currently sits within its long term trend. Using multiple statistical models including quantile regression and evolving multiples, he explains how Bitcoin appears historically cheap relative to both gold and silver. From several different chart perspectives, Bitcoin is currently trading far below its long term trend levels, suggesting that the market may be near generationally discounted territory. Matthew compares Bitcoin’s valuation across three major reference assets. When priced in dollars, Bitcoin sits significantly below its power curve trend. When priced in gold, it is trading near historically low ratios of ounces per Bitcoin. The silver comparison appears even more extreme, showing some of the deepest discounts relative to historical trend levels. Porkopolis Economics - Episode 358 Chapters: 00:00:00 - Bitcoin's Historic Lows Across Multiple Assets 00:21:49 - Bitcoin Volatility Trends and Geopolitical Risk 00:26:41 - Bitcoin's Geopolitical Tensions and Price Trends 00:33:11 - Bitcoin Price Predictions and UTXO Analysis 00:36:34 - Market Breakouts and Geopolitical Intelligence 00:43:23 - Hungary Detains Ukrainian Bank Employees with $82 Million 00:48:04 - Federal Reserve Balance Sheet and Political Tensions 00:54:43 - Fed's Balance Sheet and Bitcoin Outlook 00:57:58 - Global Conflict, Interest Rates, and Financial Risk 01:05:16 - China's Superpower Status and Democratic Concerns 01:11:02 - China's Potential Taiwan Blockade Strategy 01:14:23 - China's Taiwan Timeline and Bitcoin Market Analysis Show Sponsor: Debifi - https://debifi.com/ Donations to Porkopolis Economics via BTCPay are appreciated: https://donations.porkopolis.io/ Porkopolis Economics covers macroeconomics, money, geopolitics and sports from the creator of the Crypto Voices podcast, Matthew Mezinskis. Data-driven. Scale matters. Smaller, decentralized states means more opportunity for liberty than larger ones. Host: Matthew Mezinskis https://porkopolis.io https://x.com/1basemoney Show content is not investment or financial advice in any way.