Bitcoin’s Been Flat for 10 Weeks. What Happens Next?

Show Notes

Matt breaks down Bitcoin’s current volatility or lack of it. We’ve now seen 10 straight weeks where price hasn’t moved more than 10%, and that kind of calm usually doesn’t last. He runs through what similar low-vol periods looked like in past cycles and what tends to come after. There’s also a quick dive into Bitcoin’s volatility percentiles, and how this stretch compares to the quiet zones of 2012, 2016, and 2020. Spoiler: those didn’t stay quiet for long. If you’re wondering whether the recent chop means we’re topping out or just coiling up, this episode gives you a few solid data points to keep in mind. Porkopolis Economics - Episode 285 Chapters: 00:00:00 - Bitcoin vs Cash Money Supply Comparison 00:14:19 - Money Supply Breakdown and Crisis Indicators 00:19:14 - Fed Repo Operations and Bitcoin Power Law Model 00:37:24 - Stock Market Super Exponential Growth Patterns 00:41:35 - Lightning Network as Middle Ground State 00:48:49 - Bitcoin Power Law Predictability Analysis 01:05:14 - Bitcoin Power Curve Predictions and Analysis 01:18:20 - Bitcoin Exponential Growth Analysis 01:21:11 - Bitcoin Exponential Growth Scenarios Analysis 01:29:48 - Bitcoin Power Law vs S-Curve Debate 01:37:40 - Power Curve Analysis and Market Updates 01:48:15 - Bitcoin ETF Fees and Money Supply 01:52:05 - Ukraine's Strategic Oil Refinery Strikes Show Sponsor: Debifi - https://debifi.com/ Donations to Porkopolis Economics via BTCPay are appreciated: https://donations.porkopolis.io/ Porkopolis Economics covers macroeconomics, money, geopolitics and sports from the creator of the Crypto Voices podcast, Matthew Mezinskis. Data-driven. Scale matters. Smaller, decentralized states means more opportunity for liberty than larger ones. Host: Matthew Mezinskis https://porkopolis.io https://x.com/1basemoney Show content is not investment or financial advice in any way. 🎙️ New to streaming or looking to level up? Check out StreamYard and get $10 discount! 😍 https://streamyard.com/pal/d/6266922845601792