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Podcasts/Crypto Voices/Bitcoin Trading Far Below Its Power Curve Trend
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Crypto Voices

Bitcoin Trading Far Below Its Power Curve Trend

February 18, 2026

Show Notes

Bitcoin valuation, geopolitical instability, and long term trend analysis dominate this episode as Matthew revisits the power curve and explains why current prices represent one of the cheapest periods in Bitcoin’s history relative to its statistical trend. Despite ongoing geopolitical tensions and macro uncertainty, the power law framework continues to show Bitcoin trading deep in the lower quantiles. Matthew walks through projections derived from previous cycle peaks and explains how earlier data points from 2017 and 2021 implied present day projections well above today’s price. The current power curve trend sits around 129,000 dollars, while Bitcoin trades roughly 45 percent below that level. Historically, such deep discounts have been rare and have often preceded strong recoveries back toward trend. Porkopolis Economics - Episode 348 Chapters: 00:00:00 - Bitcoin Price vs Power Curve Analysis 00:09:51 - NATO Military Spending Surge Since 2013 00:15:25 - Trump's Ukraine Peace Deal Kabuki Theater 00:20:10 - Russian Propaganda and European Defense Spending 00:25:26 - Power Law Charts and Bitcoin Cycles 00:31:28 - Trump's Crypto Scheme and Bitcoin's Growth Trend 00:38:56 - Bitcoin Price Power Curve Analysis 00:43:04 - Bitcoin Price Trend Analysis and Recovery Timeline 00:47:04 - Bitcoin Price Projections and Statistical Analysis 00:51:27 - Bitcoin's Growth Rate and Future Projections 00:55:20 - Bitcoin's Power Curve and Current Valuation Show Sponsor: Debifi - https://debifi.com/ Donations to Porkopolis Economics via BTCPay are appreciated: https://donations.porkopolis.io/ Porkopolis Economics covers macroeconomics, money, geopolitics and sports from the creator of the Crypto Voices podcast, Matthew Mezinskis. Data-driven. Scale matters. Smaller, decentralized states means more opportunity for liberty than larger ones. Host: Matthew Mezinskis https://porkopolis.io https://x.com/1basemoney Show content is not investment or financial advice in any way. 🎙️ New to streaming or looking to level up? Check out StreamYard and get $10 discount! 😍 https://streamyard.com/pal/d/6266922845601792