Bitcoin Volatility Is Falling | Why the Power Law Still Holds

Show Notes

In this episode of Porkopolis Economics, Matthew analyzes Bitcoin’s continued movement along its power law price trend, emphasizing how Bitcoin remains within historically normal volatility ranges despite recent market uncertainty. He explains how Bitcoin’s long-term behavior differs from traditional assets, showing that volatility has decreased over time while price continues to follow a predictable probabilistic path. Matthew compares Bitcoin’s current position relative to gold, silver, and fiat currencies, suggesting Bitcoin still appears reasonably valued within its long-term statistical bands. The discussion then shifts to global monetary policy and central bank balance sheets, including how liquidity conditions continue to evolve across major economies. Porkopolis Economics - Episode 363 Chapters: 00:00:02 - Bitcoin's Four-Year Cycle Analysis 00:03:50 - Gold and Silver Hit Short-Term Top 00:22:40 - Bitcoin Power Curve and Long-Term Price Projections 00:26:38 - Power Trend Model Predicts $157,000 Price Target 00:29:04 - Global Military Spending and Drone Warfare Crisis 00:39:54 - Russian Lawyer Publicly Criticizes Putin's Ukraine War 00:42:23 - Putin's Crackdown and Modern Warfare in Ukraine 00:47:32 - Ukraine's Fight and Bitcoin's Four-Year Cycle 00:54:05 - Four-Year Cycle and 2029 Peak Predictions 00:56:56 - Geopolitical Tensions and Global Military Shifts 01:05:49 - Bitcoin Price Targets and Market Cycles 01:10:27 - Ukraine's Expanding Drone Strike Range 01:14:43 - Bitcoin Four-Year Cycle Still Intact Show Sponsor: Debifi - https://debifi.com/ Donations to Porkopolis Economics via BTCPay are appreciated: https://donations.porkopolis.io/ Porkopolis Economics covers macroeconomics, money, geopolitics and sports from the creator of the Crypto Voices podcast, Matthew Mezinskis. Data-driven. Scale matters. Smaller, decentralized states means more opportunity for liberty than larger ones. Host: Matthew Mezinskis https://porkopolis.io https://x.com/1basemoney Show content is not investment or financial advice in any way.