Has Bitcoin Topped Yet? Here's What the Data Says

Show Notes

Matt digs into Bitcoin’s recent volatility sharp drops, fast rebounds, and Bart Simpson patterns galore. He revisits the BTC price-to-miner-revenue ratio and explains how it's still under $20B globally, a reminder of how small the Bitcoin market really is compared to gold or oil. This episode also walks through trend multipliers (the 7s, 8s, and 9s), historical power curves, and whether we’ve hit the top of this cycle or if things still have room to run. Spoiler: statistically, we haven't reached the peaks you'd expect in a true blow-off top. Plus, Matt throws some shade at the million-dollar-by-year-end crowd, grounding the hype with real percentile data and historical context. He wraps by comparing gold vs. BTC and reminding us: just because gold is doing well doesn’t mean it’s winning. Charts, context, and commentary throughout. Porkopolis Economics - Episode 286 Chapters: 00:00:00 - Bitcoin Market Volatility and Price Analysis 00:11:01 - Bitcoin vs Gold Price Analysis 00:17:41 - Gold's Long-Term Trend Analysis 00:21:15 - Bitcoin vs Gold Performance Comparison 00:25:21 - Bitcoin Miner Revenue Analysis and Trends 00:29:17 - Bitcoin Price vs Power Trend Analysis 00:32:01 - Bitcoin Price Models Performance Analysis 00:36:44 - Bitcoin Price Models: Power Law vs Exponential 00:42:06 - Bitcoin's Exponential Run to Million Analysis 00:46:30 - Bitcoin Price Predictions vs Reality 00:50:44 - Upcoming Channel Upgrades and Sign Off Show Sponsor: Debifi - https://debifi.com/ Donations to Porkopolis Economics via BTCPay are appreciated: https://donations.porkopolis.io/ Porkopolis Economics covers macroeconomics, money, geopolitics and sports from the creator of the Crypto Voices podcast, Matthew Mezinskis. Data-driven. Scale matters. Smaller, decentralized states means more opportunity for liberty than larger ones. Host: Matthew Mezinskis https://porkopolis.io https://x.com/1basemoney Show content is not investment or financial advice in any way. 🎙️ New to streaming or looking to level up? Check out StreamYard and get $10 discount! 😍 https://streamyard.com/pal/d/6266922845601792