Is Bitcoin Still on Trend? Power Curve Explained

Show Notes

Matthew dives into the question: Is Bitcoin still tracking its power trend? With price slipping below $110K, he uses historical data and statistical methods—including mean, median, and mode—to explore where Bitcoin stands in relation to its long-term trajectory. Matthew revisits the “power curve,” a regression model he’s refined over time, to show how the current price compares to historical norms. The mean price-to-trend ratio hovers around 1x, the median around 0.8x, and the most frequent ratio (mode) is 0.5x, which suggests a deep discount but only appears 10% of the time. Porkopolis Economics - Episode 275 Chapters: 00:00:00 - Friday Morning Stream from Baltics 00:01:40 - Bitcoin Price Trend Analysis Explained 00:07:58 - Bitcoin Price vs Power Trend Analysis 00:13:11 - Bitcoin Statistical Analysis: Mean, Median, Mode 00:26:48 - Bitcoin vs Gold: Superior Digital Asset 00:30:54 - Bitcoin Price Analysis and Valuation Metrics 00:41:08 - Bitcoin Power Trend vs Exponential Models 00:47:48 - Stock-to-Flow vs Power Trend Models 00:50:59 - Bitcoin Stock Flow Model Analysis 00:53:25 - Bitcoin Models vs Power Trend Analysis 01:01:00 - Bitcoin Financial System Takeover Scenarios 01:08:55 - Bitcoin Four-Year Cycle Analysis 01:11:23 - Bitcoin Four-Year Cycle Analysis 01:15:11 - Bitcoin Cycle Analysis and Market Confidence 01:21:34 - Bitcoin Volume Charts and Weekend Wrap-Up Show Sponsor: Debifi - https://debifi.com/ Donations to Porkopolis Economics via BTCPay are appreciated: https://donations.porkopolis.io/ Porkopolis Economics covers macroeconomics, money, geopolitics and sports from the creator of the Crypto Voices podcast, Matthew Mezinskis. Data-driven. Scale matters. Smaller, decentralized states means more opportunity for liberty than larger ones. Host: Matthew Mezinskis https://porkopolis.io https://x.com/1basemoney Show content is not investment or financial advice in any way. 🎙️ New to streaming or looking to level up? Check out StreamYard and get $10 discount! 😍 https://streamyard.com/pal/d/6266922845601792