Bitcoin vs Stocks vs Gold, The Only Fair Test

Show Notes

Are Bitcoin bears manipulating CAGR by cherry-picking cycle tops and troughs? In this video, Adam Livingston breaks down rolling 1-year and 2-year returns, win rates vs SPY, gold (GLD), silver (SLV), and a real-world DCA investor test. When you stop arguing from screenshots and start arguing from distributions, the Bitcoin underperformance narrative collapses. Timestamps 00:00 Bitcoin Bears & the 5-Year CAGR Narrative 00:35 Why CAGR Is a Misleading Two-Point Statistic 02:37 Ask the Right Question: Rolling Windows, Distributions & Win Rates 03:49 Recreating the Bear Case 06:16 Macro Regimes & Correlation: Bitcoin Moves With Risk 07:35 The Hammer: 2-Year Rolling Win Rates vs S&P, Gold & Silver 10:09 Zoom In: 1-Year Windows, Volatility, and Why Longer Horizons Win 12:28 Real-World Investing: Dollar-Cost Averaging Test vs Lump Sum 14:49 Wrap-Up: Key Takeaways and Bear Ammo ► For high-net-worth individuals and corporations seeking to build generational wealth with Bitcoin, Swan Private is your guide ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/private?utm_campaign=private&utm_medium=social&utm_source=youtube&utm_content=content_description ► Secure your bright orange future with the Swan IRA today! Real Bitcoin, no taxes ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/ira?utm_campaign=ira&utm_medium=social&utm_source=youtube&utm_content=content_description ► Secure your Bitcoin with Swan Vault ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/vault?utm_campaign=vault&utm_medium=social&utm_source=youtube&utm_content=content_description ► Download the all-new Swan Bitcoin App ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/app?utm_campaign=app&utm_medium=social&utm_source=youtube&utm_content=content_description ► Want to learn more about Bitcoin? Check out Welcome To Bitcoin a FREE Introductory course. Learn about Bitcoin in under 1 hour! ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/welcome?utm_campaign=welcome_to_bitcoin&utm_medium=social&utm_source=youtube&utm_content=content_description ► Connect with Swan Bitcoin: ✔ Twitter: https://twitter.com/Swan ✔ Instagram: https://instagram.com/SwanBitcoin ✔ LinkedIn: https://linkedin.com/company/swanbitcoin ✔ Threads: https://www.threads.com/@swanbitcoin ✔ Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/SwanBitcoin/ ✔ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@realswanbitcoin WARNING: Beware of scammers who use Swan’s image and name in the comment section. We will never ask you to contact us through YouTube. If you have any questions and want to reach us directly, follow our Twitter account https://twitter.com/Swan and send us a message.