When Bitcoin Gets This Oversold, Buy Signal Follows

Show Notes

Bitcoin is down roughly 50% from its all-time high, and sentiment is collapsing. But what does historical data say about buying Bitcoin during deep drawdowns? In this episode, Adam Livingston breaks down RSI, 200-day moving average deviation, Sharpe ratio regimes, and forward return distributions to analyze whether this oversold Bitcoin setup has historically been a high-probability entry zone. A data-driven framework for long-term Bitcoin investors navigating volatility, capitulation, and macro uncertainty. Timestamps 00:00 Is Bitcoin Oversold? Setting the Stage 02:10 RSI Explained: Daily vs Weekly Oversold Signals 05:03 What Oversold Looked Like in 2022 + The Case for DCA 06:12 200-Day Moving Average: How Far Below Trend Are We? 09:12 Risk vs Reward: Using the Sharpe Ratio to Judge the Ride 12:00 The Big Test: What Happens After 45–50% Drawdowns? 13:19 Why Deep Fear Can Mean Opportunity 16:02 Final Takeaways, Bullish Thesis & Outro ► For high-net-worth individuals and corporations seeking to build generational wealth with Bitcoin, Swan Private is your guide ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/private?utm_campaign=private&utm_medium=social&utm_source=youtube&utm_content=content_description ► Secure your bright orange future with the Swan IRA today! Real Bitcoin, no taxes ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/ira?utm_campaign=ira&utm_medium=social&utm_source=youtube&utm_content=content_description ► Secure your Bitcoin with Swan Vault ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/vault?utm_campaign=vault&utm_medium=social&utm_source=youtube&utm_content=content_description ► Download the all-new Swan Bitcoin App ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/app?utm_campaign=app&utm_medium=social&utm_source=youtube&utm_content=content_description ► Want to learn more about Bitcoin? Check out Welcome To Bitcoin a FREE Introductory course. Learn about Bitcoin in under 1 hour! ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/welcome?utm_campaign=welcome_to_bitcoin&utm_medium=social&utm_source=youtube&utm_content=content_description ► Connect with Swan Bitcoin: ✔ Twitter: https://twitter.com/Swan ✔ Instagram: https://instagram.com/SwanBitcoin ✔ LinkedIn: https://linkedin.com/company/swanbitcoin ✔ Threads: https://www.threads.com/@swanbitcoin ✔ Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/SwanBitcoin/ ✔ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@realswanbitcoin WARNING: Beware of scammers who use Swan’s image and name in the comment section. We will never ask you to contact us through YouTube. If you have any questions and want to reach us directly, follow our Twitter account https://twitter.com/Swan and send us a message.