Bitcoin's Most Accurate Price Prediction Model: The Power Curve - Matthew Mezinskis

Show Notes

Matthew Mezinskis joins Marty Bent to analyze Bitcoin's price trajectory using power curve mathematics rather than exponential models. With data showing 96% correlation to power growth versus 86% for exponential patterns, they explore why Bitcoin doubles with each 12.7% increase in network time. The discussion covers monetary base analysis, global liquidity trends, repo market concerns, and Trump's strategic Bitcoin reserve executive order. Matthew projects Bitcoin at $125,000 by end-2025 using his power curve model, which has remained consistent since 2016 unlike other prediction methods. Matty on X: https://x.com/1basemoney https://www.porkopolis.io/topmoney/ Shoutout to our sponsors: Fold https://foldapp.com/marty Bitkey https://bit.ly/TFTCBitkey20 Unchained https://unchained.com/tftc/ Zaprite https://zaprite.com/tftc Salt of the Earth https://drinksote.com/tftc 0:00 - Intro 0:41 - SBR 10:06 - Self custody 20:50 - Fold & Bitkey 22:32 - Bitcoin % of monetary base 27:59 - Good ol' power trendline 34:30 - Unchained announcement 35:01 - Adoption S curve is misleading 52:55 - Fun with charts 56:51 - Monetary base growth comparison 1:00:51 - How the power curve reflects psychology 1:05:09 - Exponential decay 1:12:22 - Monetary base, repo markets and Luongo theory 1:31:42 - Money market funds 1:41:20 - Bitcoin price models Join the TFTC Movement: Main YT Channel https://www.youtube.com/c/TFTC21/videos Clips YT Channel https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCUQcW3jxfQfEUS8kqR5pJtQ Website https://tftc.io/ Twitter https://twitter.com/tftc21 Instagram https://www.instagram.com/tftc.io/ Nostr https://primal.net/tftc Follow Marty Bent: Twitter https://twitter.com/martybent Nostr https://primal.net/martybent Newsletter https://tftc.io/martys-bent/ Podcast https://www.tftc.io/tag/podcasts/